Naslov
Convection nowcast for air traffic management verification

Autori
Šoljan, Vinko ; Jurković, Jadran

Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Sažeci sa skupova, sažetak, ostalo

Izvornik
Kratki sažeci Meteorološki izazovi 6: Napredne tehnologije u rješavanju meteoroloških izazova / - , 2018, 46-46

Skup
Znanstveno-stručni skup s međunarodnim sudjelovanjem: Meteorološki izazovi 6: Napredne tehnologije u rješavanju meteoroloških izazova

Mjesto i datum
Zagreb, Hrvatska, 15.11.2018. - 16.11.2018

Vrsta sudjelovanja
Poster

Vrsta recenzije
Domaća recenzija

Ključne riječi
Convection, nowcast, verification

Sažetak
Widespread deep convection can cause large air traffic detours and congestion of airspace around convectively active areas, increasing workload on air traffic controllers. For that reason, precise and accurate short range forecasts of convective coverage and cloud tops are essential for tactical planning and flow planning in Air Traffic Management (ATM), and are of great importance for flight safety in general. To address some of these issues, in 2016 and 2017, Croatia Control meteorological division tested a new forecast product for ATM— Convection Nowcast. ATM Convection Nowcast (ATCoN) is a graphical forecast of deep moist convection horizontal and vertical coverage of ATC sectors in the next six hours. It is manually generated by forecasters, using ingredients-based methodology and remote sensing data. During the testing period verification data was generated using IR satellite images and lightning detection data in the same format as original nowcast. All forecasts were compared to observations in order to answer two key questions: 1. how good is forecast of convective coverage and 2. how good is forecast of convective cloud tops? Usual verification measures were used in this process. This poster presents details about the ATCoN product and verification results for the testing period in 2016 and 2017.

Izvorni jezik
Engleski

Znanstvena područja
Geofizika

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