Naslov
Summer temperature extremes over Europe obtained from an ensemble of regional climate models

Autori
Srnec, Lidija ; Güttler, Ivan ; Cindrić Kalin, Ksenija ; Branković, Čedomir

Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Sažeci sa skupova, neobjavljeni rad, znanstveni

Skup
GEWEX workshop on the climate system of the Pannonian basin

Mjesto i datum
Osijek, Hrvatska, 09.11.2015. - 11.11.2015

Vrsta sudjelovanja
Poster

Vrsta recenzije
Međunarodna recenzija

Ključne riječi
summer temperature extremes; EURO-CORDEX; regional climate models; Croatia

Sažetak
European summer temperature extremes from simulations of six EURO-CORDEX regional climate models are analysed for the 20-year period, 1989-2008. The models were driven by ERA-Interim reanalysis at 50 and 12.5-km horizontal resolutions. Three categories of extreme temperature indices - absolute, percentile and duration - are derived from daily data. The results are compared with extreme temperature indices calculated from the gridded daily E-OBS data over Europe and for Croatia, where the indices are derived from daily observations at 20 Croatian meteorological stations. The ensemble spread is large, but the biases at 12.5-km simulations are smaller than at 50 km. When compared with validation data, model simulated temperatures and their percentiles are mostly overestimated over southern Europe and underestimated over northern Europe. Over Croatia, spatial distribution of indices at 12.5 km is closer to observed distribution than at the 50-km resolution.

Izvorni jezik
Engleski

Znanstvena područja
Geologija

POVEZANOST RADA