Naslov
Assessing the impact of energy saving measures on the future energy demand and related GHG emission reduction of Croatia

Autori
Pukšec, Tomislav ; Mathiesen, Brian Vad ; Novosel, Tomislav ; Duić, Neven

Izvornik
Energy (Oxford) (0360-5442) 76 (2014); 198-209

Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Radovi u časopisima, članak, znanstveni

Ključne riječi
planning; future energy demand; GHG emissions; energy policy

Sažetak
In the light of European energy-climate package and its measures for increasing security of supply, decreasing the impact on environment and stimulating sustainability, Croatia as a new EU member state needs to reconsider and develop new energy policy towards energy efficiency and renewable energy sources. Croatian long-term energy demand and its effect on the future national GHG emissions are analyzed in this paper. For that purpose the National energy Demand model was constructed (NeD model). The model is comprised out of six modules, each representing one sector: industry, transport, households, services, agriculture and construction. The model is based on bottom up approach. The analysis has shown that energy policy measures, identified through this paper, can potentially achieve energy savings up to 157 PJ in the year 2050, which presents a 40% decrease to referent (frozen efficiency) scenario. Results obtained in this paper were also compared to the Croatian National Energy Strategy for the years 2020 and 2030. It was shown that if already implemented policies were properly taken into account the actual final energy demand for the year 2030 would be 43% lower than projected by the Croatian National Energy Strategy.

Izvorni jezik
Engleski

Znanstvena područja
Strojarstvo

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