Naslov
Analysis of the pattern aggregation impact on the demand forecasting

Autori
Božić, Diana ; Stanković, Ratko ; Kolarić, Goran

Izvornik
Tehnički glasnik - Technical journal (1846-6168) 7 (2013); 426-430

Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Radovi u časopisima, pregledni rad, znanstveni

Ključne riječi
time series forecasting methods ; demand pattern aggregation ; bullwhip effect ; supply chain

Sažetak
Supply chains are rarely in their basic, simple form – they involve different participants who respectively use demand forecasting methods related to their filed. Demand forecasting based on orders received instead on end user demand data will inherently become more and more inaccurate as it moves up the supply chain. Each participant in a supply chain receives different fluctuations data in the orders obtained, which is caused by the bullwhip effect. In order to mitigate these distortions, producers require the distributors to deliver the data on demand forecasting for a certain market. Thus the distributor tries to find the appropriate forecast method. This can be very difficult since the demand patterns of buyers differ. The paper analyses the pattern aggregation used for demand forecasting by applying different forecasting methods.

Izvorni jezik
Engleski

Znanstvena područja
Tehnologija prometa i transport

POVEZANOST RADA