Naslov
Advanced System Analysis Using Scenario Approach – the Case Study of Croatia

Autori
Cerovac, Tin ; Ćosić, Boris ; Pukšec, Tomislav ; Duić, Neven

Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Radovi u zbornicima skupova, cjeloviti rad (in extenso), znanstveni

Izvornik
Digital Proceedings of 8th Conference on Sustainable Development of Energy, Water and Environment Systems – SDEWES Conference / Ban, Marko .... [et al.] - Zagreb : Fakultet strojarstva i brodogradnje Sveučilišta u Zagrebu, 2013, 0474-1

Skup
8th Conference on Sustainable Development of Energy, Water and Environment Systems – SDEWES Conference

Mjesto i datum
Dubrovnik, Hrvatska, 22.09.2013. - 27.09.2013

Vrsta sudjelovanja
Predavanje

Vrsta recenzije
Međunarodna recenzija

Ključne riječi
EnergyPLAN; Croatia; Import of Electricity; National Energy Strategy; Critical Excess Electricity Production (CEEP)

Sažetak
Even a few years after the national Energy Strategy has been passed, direction for development of the Croatian energy system remains a booming topic. Croatian energy system is currently highly import-dependent and obligations toward renewable energy sources implementation, as well as limited energy sources available, need to be considered. This paper studies eight scenarios - three proposed by the Strategy, one proposed by the Indicative medium-term development plan of Croatia’s TSO, and four alternative scenarios that propose extensive construction of hydro, wind and solar power plants in Croatia. Calculations have been conducted in the EnergyPLAN model based on modelled long term energy demand predictions, with 2009 as the base year and a scope ranging until the year 2030. Each of the eight proposed scenarios is observed trough three sub-scenarios, describing various hydrological conditions while analyzing production, costs, CO2 emissions and other relevant parameters. The results of this study can be used as a reference for further development of the Croatian energy system.

Izvorni jezik
Engleski

Znanstvena područja
Strojarstvo

POVEZANOST RADA