Naslov
Optimal Analytical Instruments in the Function of Estimation of Total Traffic in the Port of Rijeka

Autori
Juretić, Sandra ; Cerović, Ljerka ; Galović, Tomislav

Izvornik
Pomorstvo: Scientific Journal of Maritime Research (1332-0718) 27 (2013), 2; 265-277

Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Radovi u časopisima, pregledni rad, znanstveni

Ključne riječi
port of Rijeka ; smoothing time series models ; analysis ; estimation and forecasting of total traffic trend

Sažetak
The subject of analysis in this paper is traffic in the Port of Rijeka, the largest and the most significant Croatian port for domestic and international public, predominantly cargo traffic, whose role, considering numerous plans for comprehensive modernisation and revitalisation of Rijeka's traffic route and hypercomplex traffic system, gains additional significance in terms of its impact on general prosperity of the Rijeka area and the entire Croatia. In this paper, research is oriented on the analysis of the total realised traffic movement in the Port of Rijeka, according to all cargo structures in the period between 2000 and 2009, with special reference to the analysis of container traffic trend until 2011, which has shown the highest growth potential in the North Adriatic area. Therefore, based on the analysis of total traffic movement in the Port of Rijeka, selected by mathematical and statistical smoothing time series models, scientifically based conclusions were derived in the segment of selection of the optimal forecasting model of future traffic trends in the Port of Rijeka. This selection is considered relevant for making quality business decisions in the future.

Izvorni jezik
Engleski

Znanstvena područja
Ekonomija

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