Pregled bibliografske jedinice broj: 588622
Revised ICI as a leading indicator of Croatian industral production during a recession
Revised ICI as a leading indicator of Croatian industral production during a recession // 25th European Conference on Operational Research (EURO XXV), 8-11 July 2012. Vilnius, Lithuania, www.euro-2012.lt ; Conference programme / Christiansen, M. (ur.).
Vilnius: EURO The Association of European Operational Research Societies, 2012. str. 39-39 (predavanje, nije recenziran, sažetak, stručni)
CROSBI ID: 588622 Za ispravke kontaktirajte CROSBI podršku putem web obrasca
Naslov
Revised ICI as a leading indicator of Croatian industral production during a recession
Autori
Čižmešija, Mirjana ; Erjavec, Nataša ; Bahovec, Vlasta
Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Sažeci sa skupova, sažetak, stručni
Izvornik
25th European Conference on Operational Research (EURO XXV), 8-11 July 2012. Vilnius, Lithuania, www.euro-2012.lt ; Conference programme
/ Christiansen, M. - Vilnius : EURO The Association of European Operational Research Societies, 2012, 39-39
Skup
25th European Conference on Operational Research (EURO XXV)
Mjesto i datum
Vilnius, Litva, 08.07.2012. - 11.07.2012
Vrsta sudjelovanja
Predavanje
Vrsta recenzije
Nije recenziran
Ključne riječi
Forecasting; Developing Countries; Economic Modeling
Sažetak
With the aim to improve its forecasting properties, especially during a recession, we modified a standard composite leading indicator (ICI) in Croatia. Two revised ICIs are proposed and their predictive powers were analysed on the bases of several econometric models with variables: standard ICI, two revised ICIs and Croatian industrial production (y-o-y growth rate). As for a Croatian industrial production during the recession it is recommended to forecast only one quarter ahead and revised leading indicator, calculated with negative manager's answers, showed the best forecasting properties.
Izvorni jezik
Engleski
Znanstvena područja
Ekonomija
POVEZANOST RADA
Projekti:
067-0000000-2496 - Metodologija konjunkturnih istraživanja Eurposke unije i Republike Hrvatske (Čižmešija, Mirjana, MZOS ) ( CroRIS)
067-0161711-2483 - Statističko modeliranje za povećanje konkurentnosti suvremenih organizacija (Dumičić, Ksenija, MZOS ) ( CroRIS)
Ustanove:
Ekonomski fakultet, Zagreb
