Naslov
Stochastical categories in the probability of success (POS) calculation

Autori
Malvić, Tomislav ; Velić, Josipa ; Cvetković, Marko

Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Radovi u zbornicima skupova, cjeloviti rad (in extenso), znanstveni

Izvornik
Geomathematics as geoscience / Malvić, Tomislav ; Geiger, Janos ; Cvetković, Marko - Zagreb : Hrvatsko geološko društvo, 2012, 97-104

ISBN
978-953-95130-6-9

Skup
4th Croatian-Hungarian and 15th Hungarian geomathematical congress

Mjesto i datum
Opatija, Hrvatska, 23.05.2012. - 25.05.2012

Vrsta sudjelovanja
Predavanje

Vrsta recenzije
Međunarodna recenzija

Ključne riječi
geological risk; determinism; stochastic; Pannonian basin; Croatia

Sažetak
Geological risk of existence of hydrocarbon reservoir is calculated on deterministical, stochastical or expert-opinion way. The most often term for numerical result is ‘Probability Of Success’ (abbr. POS) of hydrocarbon discovery. In all cases it included adding of probability values to categories that define hydrocarbon system. Here is described hybrid model, based on the most often deterministical approach that is, up to now, applied in the Croatian hydrocarbon provinces in the Pannonian Basin System. The term “hybrid” is applied because deterministical estimation of one category is replaced with stochastical calculations. As result, some geological events can be estimated with several values, what eventually give several probabilities of hydrocarbon reservoir existence. This is advantage of classical deterministical approach.

Izvorni jezik
Engleski

Znanstvena područja
Geologija

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