Naslov
Potential near future runoff changes in Croatia

Autori
Güttler, Ivan ; Trninić, Dušan ; Bošnjak, Tomislava ; Srnec, Lidija ; Patarčić, Mirta ; Branković, Čedo

Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Radovi u zbornicima skupova, cjeloviti rad (in extenso), znanstveni

Izvornik
Hrvatske vode pred izazovom klimatskih promjena/ Croatian waters facing the challenge of climate changes / Biondić, Danko ; Holjević, Danko ; Tropan, Ljudevit - Zagreb : Hrvatske vode, 2011, 65-75

ISBN
978-953-7672-01-0

Skup
5. hrvatska konferencija o vodama s međunarodnim sudjelovanjem: Hrvatske vode pred izazovom klimatskih promjena/ 5th Croatian water conference with international participation: Croatian waters facing the challenge of climate changes

Mjesto i datum
Opatija, Hrvatska, 18.05.2011. - 21.05.2011

Vrsta sudjelovanja
Pozvano predavanje

Vrsta recenzije
Domaća recenzija

Ključne riječi
regional climate model; surface runoff; climate change

Sažetak
The Regional Climate Model (RegCM3) is used to dynamically downscale three realisations of present (1961-1990) and future climates (2011- 2040) as defined by EH5OM global climate model. For future climate the IPCC A2 high forcing scenario is used. RegCM3 domain covers a large part of Europe and the Mediterranean basin with 35 km horizontal spatial step. Focus of analysis is simulated surface runoff over Croatia and its neighbourhood in present and future climates. Derived surface runoff from measurements of water level in the hydrological network of Meteorological and Hydrological Service of Croatia (DHMZ) is also analyzed for the present climate. The near-future changes in runoff can be associated with the changes in total precipitation and temperature. Seasonal and spatial variability in magnitude and sign of future changes in runoff are identified.

Izvorni jezik
Engleski

Znanstvena područja
Geologija

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