Pregled bibliografske jedinice broj: 471075
Wintertime variability in the Euro-Atlantic region in observations and in ECMWF seasonal ensemble experiments
Wintertime variability in the Euro-Atlantic region in observations and in ECMWF seasonal ensemble experiments // Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 126 (2000), 567; 2143-2173 doi:10.1002/qj.49712656709 (međunarodna recenzija, članak, znanstveni)
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Naslov
Wintertime variability in the Euro-Atlantic region in observations and in ECMWF seasonal ensemble experiments
Autori
Pavan, V. ; Molteni, F. ; Branković, Čedomir
Izvornik
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society (0035-9009) 126
(2000), 567;
2143-2173
Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Radovi u časopisima, članak, znanstveni
Ključne riječi
ensemble simulations; Euro-Atlantic variability; seasonal predictability
Sažetak
An EOF decomposition of monthly mean analyses of 500 hPa height (1949-94) is used to describe the interannual variability of the large-scale flow in the Euro-Atlantic region during winter. Indications of an influence of tropical SST anomalies on the blocking-like third EOF, emerging from ECMWF re-analysis are not confirmed by a longer SST record. A 14-winter set of seasonal ensemble simulations, performed with the ECMWF atmospheric model, is validated by comparing projections of ERA data onto four leading Euro-Atlantic EOFs. The performance of the model is uneven and depends on the large-scale pattern considered.
Izvorni jezik
Engleski
Znanstvena područja
Geologija
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Časopis indeksira:
- Current Contents Connect (CCC)
- Web of Science Core Collection (WoSCC)
- Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXP)
- SCI-EXP, SSCI i/ili A&HCI
- Scopus