Naslov
Short-run Forecasting of Industrial Production and Inventories of Finished Products in Industry in the Republic of Croatia,

Autori
Bahovec, Vlasta ; Cota, Boris ; Erjavec, Nataša

Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Radovi u zbornicima skupova, cjeloviti rad (in extenso), znanstveni

Izvornik
Proceedings of the 17th International Conference on Information Technology Interfaces, ITI'95 / - Zagreb, 1995, 227-234

Skup
17th International Conference on Information Technology Interfaces, ITI'95

Mjesto i datum
Pula, Hrvatska, 13.06.1995. - 16.06.1995

Vrsta sudjelovanja
Predavanje

Vrsta recenzije
Međunarodna recenzija

Ključne riječi
Forecasting; intervention analysis; industrial production; inventories; ARIMA model

Sažetak
The aim of the paper is to define appropriate forecasting models for industrial production (as the reference series of aggregate economic activity) and inventories for finished products in the Republic of Croatia. Using a sample period from January 1988 to February 1995, the analysis is performed in two steps. In the first step, adequate seasonal ARIMA models for ln-transormed series are defined, as well as several intervention models. In the second step, the models are compared. Finally, the models with the smallest forecasting errors are chosen as the final models to be employed for forecasting Croatian industrial production and inventories for finished products.

Izvorni jezik
Engleski

Znanstvena područja
Ekonomija

POVEZANOST RADA