Pregled bibliografske jedinice broj: 454995
Predicting downturn: Are Tendency Surveys a Good Estimator of Retail Activity in Croatia?
Predicting downturn: Are Tendency Surveys a Good Estimator of Retail Activity in Croatia? // Ekonomski pregled : mjesečnik Hrvatskog društva ekonomista Zagreb, 61 (2010), 9-10; 511-533 (međunarodna recenzija, članak, znanstveni)
CROSBI ID: 454995 Za ispravke kontaktirajte CROSBI podršku putem web obrasca
Naslov
Predicting downturn: Are Tendency Surveys a Good Estimator of Retail Activity in Croatia?
Autori
Sorić, Petar ; Marković, Milivoj
Izvornik
Ekonomski pregled : mjesečnik Hrvatskog društva ekonomista Zagreb (0424-7558) 61
(2010), 9-10;
511-533
Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Radovi u časopisima, članak, znanstveni
Ključne riječi
Business and consumer survey ; vector autoregression model ; retail activity
Sažetak
This paper examines the power of business and consumer survey indicators in predicting retail activity in Croatia. An overview of business and consumer surveys is presented at the beginning of the paper followed by detail elaboration of methodology used. The main model used for the analysis is a bivariate vector autoregression VAR together with causality tests, impulse response function analysis and variance decomposition. Results have revealed that a statistically significant relationship exists between certain survey indicators and macroeconomic variables measuring retail activity. However their negative relationship was quite unexpected.
Izvorni jezik
Engleski
Znanstvena područja
Ekonomija
POVEZANOST RADA
Projekti:
067-0000000-2496 - Metodologija konjunkturnih istraživanja Eurposke unije i Republike Hrvatske (Čižmešija, Mirjana, MZOS ) ( CroRIS)
Ustanove:
Ekonomski fakultet, Zagreb
Citiraj ovu publikaciju:
Časopis indeksira:
- Web of Science Core Collection (WoSCC)
- Emerging Sources Citation Index (ESCI)
- Scopus
- EconLit
