Pregled bibliografske jedinice broj: 445406
Seasonal and atmospheric predictability - the ECMWF PROVOST experience
Seasonal and atmospheric predictability - the ECMWF PROVOST experience // Proceedings of the ECMWF Seminar on Atmosphere-surface Interaction
Reading: European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), 1999. str. 163-171 (pozvano predavanje, nije recenziran, cjeloviti rad (in extenso), znanstveni)
CROSBI ID: 445406 Za ispravke kontaktirajte CROSBI podršku putem web obrasca
Naslov
Seasonal and atmospheric predictability - the ECMWF PROVOST experience
Autori
Palmer, T.N. ; Branković, Č.
Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Radovi u zbornicima skupova, cjeloviti rad (in extenso), znanstveni
Izvornik
Proceedings of the ECMWF Seminar on Atmosphere-surface Interaction
/ - Reading : European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), 1999, 163-171
Skup
ECMWF Seminar on Atmosphere-surface Interaction
Mjesto i datum
Reading, Ujedinjeno Kraljevstvo, 08.09.1997. - 12.09.1997
Vrsta sudjelovanja
Pozvano predavanje
Vrsta recenzije
Nije recenziran
Ključne riječi
seasonal predictability; ensembles; SST; El Nino; La Nina
Sažetak
A series of ensemble integrations with ECMWF model has been made to assess the predictability of the atmosphere on seasonal timescales. Integrations were 120 days long and observed sea surface temperature (SST) was specified at the lower boundary. Overall, the level of skill was positive for all regions considered. Systematic errors of the model are found to be non-negligible. Over some parts of the globe, it was found that systematic errors are of the order of magnitude of interannual variability.
Izvorni jezik
Engleski
Znanstvena područja
Geologija
