Pregled bibliografske jedinice broj: 444403
Modeling of Risk Factor Influence on Construction Time Overrun by Applying Multivariant Regression Analysis
Modeling of Risk Factor Influence on Construction Time Overrun by Applying Multivariant Regression Analysis // Construction Facing Worldwide Challenges / Cerić, A., Radujković, M. (ur.).
Zagreb: Građevinski fakultet Sveučilišta u Zagrebu, 2009. str. 29-30 (predavanje, međunarodna recenzija, sažetak, znanstveni)
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Naslov
Modeling of Risk Factor Influence on Construction Time Overrun by Applying Multivariant Regression Analysis
Autori
Žujo , Vahida ; Car-Pušić, Diana
Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Sažeci sa skupova, sažetak, znanstveni
Izvornik
Construction Facing Worldwide Challenges
/ Cerić, A., Radujković, M. - Zagreb : Građevinski fakultet Sveučilišta u Zagrebu, 2009, 29-30
ISBN
978-953-6272-34-1
Skup
CIB Joint International Symposium Construction Facing Worldwide Challenges
Mjesto i datum
Dubrovnik, Hrvatska, 27.09.2009. - 30.09.2009
Vrsta sudjelovanja
Predavanje
Vrsta recenzije
Međunarodna recenzija
Ključne riječi
multivariant regression analysis; construction target date; overrun; risk factors
Sažetak
This paper analyses the problem of quantifying the significant risk factor influence on contracted construction time extension by applying the mathematical method of multivariant regression analysis. It can be said that the Bromilow „time-cost“ model significantly simplifies the problem, even to the extent which sometimes can not be considered as satisfying because it does not take into consideration the number of circumstances which lead to the event realization in the specific way. Under series of circumstances which lead to the specific event occurence those that are of the greatest significance must be proven in the exact way. The appropriate mathematical procedure is the multivariant regression analysis. Its application enables the detection of the joint influence of several independent variables on the observed dependent one (the construction time overrun) in which process the number of measurements is considerably larger than the number of variables in question. This paper analyses 28 hydraulic engineering structures (water supply structures) in the context of modeling the significant risk factor influence on the construction time overrun. By applying the SPSS9 software the regression equation is to be obtained and the joint influence of risks on construction time overrun is then defined. However, it must be pointed out that the obtained equation is applicable to the research area only because the risk factors are specific in natural, economic and other circumstances for each research area.
Izvorni jezik
Engleski
Znanstvena područja
Građevinarstvo