Naslov
Modelling of climate change and maize production in Croatia

Autori
Vučetić, Višnjica

Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Radovi u zbornicima skupova, cjeloviti rad (in extenso), znanstveni

Izvornik
18th International Congress of Biometeorology: Harmony within Nature / Iriki, Masami - Tokyo, 2008, 1-4

Skup
18th International Congress of Biometeorology

Mjesto i datum
Tokyo, Japan, 22.09.2008. - 26.09.2008

Vrsta sudjelovanja
Poster

Vrsta recenzije
Međunarodna recenzija

Ključne riječi
maize ; crop model ; climate change ; Croatia

Sažetak
The main application of the crop models is in climate change impact research on agriculture. Maize, winter wheat and spring barley are very often used for scientific investigations. One of the most used crop model is DSSAT programme (Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer) which includes: cereals and maize, leguminous plants and root and tuber crops. Each crop group has its own basic simulation model. The Crop-Environment Resource Synthesis (CERES) models for maize and wheat are the most widely used in the world. As maize is one of the most important agricultural crops in Croatia, the main aim in this paper is to establish the projection of impact of the climate change on the maize growing at the end of 21st century. The CERES-Maize model results using different climate scenarios for the central part of Croatia describe the vulnerability of agro-ecological systems affected by possible climatic changes, including only the indirect CO2 effect. All climate change scenarios during the 21st century, including only the climate change effect, projected a shorter growing season of 34-44 days and a reduction in maize yields of 8-15%.

Izvorni jezik
Engleski

Znanstvena područja
Geofizika

POVEZANOST RADA