Naslov
A Contribution to the Empirics of Tourism Growth Cycles in the Croatia

Autori
Šergo, Zdravko ; Tomčić, Zdenko ; Poropat, Amorino ;

Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Radovi u zbornicima skupova, cjeloviti rad (in extenso), znanstveni

Izvornik
4th International Conference An Enterprise Odyssey : Tourism - Governance and Entrepreneurship : proceedings / Galetić, Lovorka ; Čavlek, Nevenka - Zagreb : Ekonomski fakultet Sveučilišta u Zagrebu, 2008, 306-307

ISBN
978-953-6025-23-7

Skup
Nternational Conference An Enterprise Odysseey : Tourism - Governance and Entrepreneurship (4 ; 2008)

Mjesto i datum
Zagreb, Hrvatska, 11.06.2008. - 14.06.2008

Vrsta sudjelovanja
Predavanje

Vrsta recenzije
Međunarodna recenzija

Ključne riječi
tourism; growth cycle; Hodrick-Prescott filter; recession; expansion; synchronization

Sažetak
In this paper we use the non-parametric method proposed by Harding and Pagan (2003) to date tourism growth cycles in Republic of Croatia. We try to find turning points dating results in overnights stays. This paper studies the relationship between tourism growth cycles and industrial production fluctuations generated by tourism demand of few of the main emitive countries (Germany, Italy, Austria, Holland). We use robust, transparent and replicable dating rules in the context of economic tourism activity cycles. First of all, we are trying to detect the degree of synchronization of the tourism and economic cycles by a concordance index, and a lag concordance index. Observing cycles and producing dating indicator functions are important in examining potential asymmetric behaviour associated with tourism economic phases and are useful for forecasting purposes.

Izvorni jezik
Engleski

Znanstvena područja
Arhitektura i urbanizam, Ekonomija

Napomena
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