Naslov
Forecasting with Intervention: Tourism in Croatia

Autori
Rozga, Ante ; Marasović, Toni ; Arnerić Josip

Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Sažeci sa skupova, sažetak, znanstveni

Skup
International Society for Business and Industrial Statistics 2007

Mjesto i datum
Azori, Portugal, 15.08.2008. - 18.08.2008

Vrsta sudjelovanja
Predavanje

Vrsta recenzije
Međunarodna recenzija

Ključne riječi
Forecasting; Intervention; X-12 ARIMA; TRAMO/SEATS

Sažetak
Tourism is among the most vulnerable business activities. It could be affected by political crisis, outbreak of the disease, economic crisis and war activities. In Croatia, the war for independence in 1991 affected tourism seriously. The number of foreign tourist has fallen more than 85% in 1992, compared with 1989. But, there were another interventions: the military action “ Storm” in August 1995 for deliberation of occupied Croatian territories and NATO strike in 1999 against Serbia, connected with Kosovo crisis. Although NATO action was not conducted on Croatian territory, the action had impact on Croatian tourism.

Izvorni jezik
Engleski

Znanstvena područja
Ekonomija

POVEZANOST RADA