Naslov
Modelling of maize production and the impact of climate change on maize yields in Croatia

Autori
Vučetić, Višnjica

Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Poglavlja u knjigama, znanstveni

Knjiga
Climate Variability Modeling Tools and Agricultural Decision Making

Urednik/ci
Utset, Angel

Izdavač
Nova Science Publishers

Grad
New York (NY)

Godina
2009

Raspon stranica
195-201

ISBN
978-1-60692-703-8

Ključne riječi
CERES-Maize model, weather generator Met&Roll, climate change scenarios

Sažetak
The effect of climate change on maize growth and productivity in the central part of Croatia has been researched using the crop CERES-Maize model. The Zagreb Maksimir meteorological data during the period 1949– 2004 and pedological, physiological and genetic data obtained in the field maize experiment in Zagreb 1999 have been used. In order to estimate the intensity of the regional impact of climate change on maize production, a synthetic meteorological series was created by the stochastic weather generator Met&Roll for different climate change scenarios. The CERES-Maize model was run with meteorological series representing the present climate and synthetic meteorological series representing the changed climate. All climate change scenarios during the 21st century, including only the climate change effect, projected a shorter growing season of 34-44 days and a reduction in maize yields of 8-15%.

Izvorni jezik
Engleski

Znanstvena područja
Geofizika

POVEZANOST RADA