Pregled bibliografske jedinice broj: 281784
The Analysis of Seasonal Variations in Vital Statistics in Croatia: Two Different Approaches
The Analysis of Seasonal Variations in Vital Statistics in Croatia: Two Different Approaches // Proceedings of JSM 2006
Alexandria (VA): American Statistical Association, 2006. str. 2567-2571 (poster, međunarodna recenzija, cjeloviti rad (in extenso), znanstveni)
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Naslov
The Analysis of Seasonal Variations in Vital Statistics in Croatia: Two Different Approaches
Autori
Rozga, Ante : Banovac, Željko
Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Radovi u zbornicima skupova, cjeloviti rad (in extenso), znanstveni
Izvornik
Proceedings of JSM 2006
/ - Alexandria (VA) : American Statistical Association, 2006, 2567-2571
Skup
Joint Statistical Meetings of the American Statistical Association
Mjesto i datum
Seattle (WA), Sjedinjene Američke Države, 05.08.2006. - 10.08.2006
Vrsta sudjelovanja
Poster
Vrsta recenzije
Međunarodna recenzija
Ključne riječi
Seasonal Variations; Mortality; Live births; Marriages; Forecasting
Sažetak
We have analyzed the following vital statistics in Croatia: live births, deaths, marriages and divorces. Seasonal and other variations were extracted from monthly time series. We have also made forecasts for the nearest future. It would be interested because Croatian population has been decreasing for several years and also number of marriages has dramatically fallen, due to various reasons. Two different methods for seasonal adjustment were employed: X-12-ARIMA which is empirically based (“ ad hoc method” ) and TRAMO/SEATS which is model based method. We investigated the results and statistical diagnostics related to both methods.
Izvorni jezik
Engleski
Znanstvena područja
Ekonomija
