Naslov
Does COVID-19 Behave as Lightning Strike?

Autori
Lojic Kapetanovic, Ante ; Poljak, Dragan

Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Radovi u zbornicima skupova, cjeloviti rad (in extenso), znanstveni

Izvornik
Engineering Modeling / - : Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE), 2022, 1-5

Skup
7th International Conference on Smart and Sustainable Technologies (SpliTech)

Mjesto i datum
Bol, Hrvatska, 05.07.2022. - 08.07.2022

Vrsta sudjelovanja
Predavanje

Vrsta recenzije
Međunarodna recenzija

Ključne riječi
epidemic modeling ; COVID-19 ; lightning current

Sažetak
Early stages of an epidemic are characterized by exponential growth in the number of infected cases, corresponding to the effective reproduction number greater than 1. After deliberate interventions in the disease transmission are introduced, the effective reproduction number should drop below 1. The number of active infections should follow the downward trend conditioned by the stringency of the measures and drop exponentially. The growth phase is in general of shorter duration than the decay phase. This asymmetry imposes itself as an aggravating factor onto common mathematical models used to capture the epidemic dynamics. To overcome aforementioned issue, in this paper, we compare the functional form of the epidemic dynamics with the analytical expression often found in the lightning research and standardization. Computational examples are given for different countries that kept track of the number of daily positive cases, recovered cases and deaths during the period of the first outbreak of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).

Izvorni jezik
Engleski

Znanstvena područja
Interdisciplinarne tehničke znanosti

POVEZANOST RADA