Pregled bibliografske jedinice broj: 121665
Dynamic Modeling of Ethnic Conflicts
Dynamic Modeling of Ethnic Conflicts // The 16th Triennial Conference of the International Federation of Operational Research Societies
Edinburgh: University of Edinburgh, 2002. (predavanje, nije recenziran, sažetak, znanstveni)
CROSBI ID: 121665 Za ispravke kontaktirajte CROSBI podršku putem web obrasca
Naslov
Dynamic Modeling of Ethnic Conflicts
Autori
Penzar, Dražen ; Srbljinović, Armano
Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Sažeci sa skupova, sažetak, znanstveni
Izvornik
The 16th Triennial Conference of the International Federation of Operational Research Societies
/ - Edinburgh : University of Edinburgh, 2002
Skup
The 16th Triennial Conference of the International Federation of Operational Research Societies
Mjesto i datum
Edinburgh, Ujedinjeno Kraljevstvo, 08.07.2002. - 12.07.2002
Vrsta sudjelovanja
Predavanje
Vrsta recenzije
Nije recenziran
Ključne riječi
world affairs; politics; complex societal problems; ethnic conflicts; simulation; agent-based modeling; system dynamics
Sažetak
The paper presents two formal models of ethnic conflicts: an agent-based model of ethnic mobilization and a system-dynamics model of societal conflicts. Models are based on recent social-science theories of preconditions, causes and dynamics of ethnic violence and on experience in former Yugoslavia in last two decades. We present architecture and main models' elements, and roughly compare their dynamics with observed patterns of behavior in Yugoslav crisis. We conclude that computerized modeling of ethnic conflicts and similar complex social behavior can not predict or accurately replicate real-world events, but can help in developing and understanding relevant scientific concepts and theories.
Izvorni jezik
Engleski
Znanstvena područja
Sociologija
