Naslov
Tracing the progress of scenario research in business and management

Autori
Jashari, Arbrie ; Tiberius, Victor ; Dabić, Marina

Izvornik
FUTURES & FORESIGHT SCIENCE (2573-5152) 4 (2021), 1; 1-9

Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Radovi u časopisima, članak, znanstveni

Ključne riječi
bibliometric analysis, business research, cocitation analysis, management, scenario

Sažetak
Business and management research on scenarios has been highly productive over the decades but led to complex literature that is hard to oversee. To organize the field and identify distinguishable research clusters, we conducted a co-citation analysis focusing on the long-term history of research. We compare our findings with a previously published bibliographic coupling focusing on the more recent research to trace its development over time. Our study revealed six research clusters:(1) Planning the Future with Scenarios, (2) Scenario Planning in Strategic Manage-ment, (3) Reinforcing the Scenario Technique, (4) Integration of Scenario Planning and MCDA, (5) Combination of Different Methods, and (6) Decision Making through Stochastic Programming, whereas the bibliographic coupling generated 11 clusters. Some former research clusters were divided into separate new clusters, while others were united. Additionally, completely new clusters emerged. Future research on scenarios is expected (1) to further differentiate into strategy and operations, (2) to be based on “behavioral futures” or “behavioral foresight” as a new research stream, (3) to advance the scenario technique methodically and include new specific scenario generation methods, and (4) to put forth new application areas.

Izvorni jezik
Engleski

Znanstvena područja
Interdisciplinarne tehničke znanosti, Ekonomija

POVEZANOST RADA