Naslov
Demographic Development of the Middle Dalmatian Cost and Simulation of Trends in Population Density by the LOPI Model

Autori
Malnar, Ana ; Viličić, Nikica ; Jovanović, Veljko

Izvornik
Collegium Antropologicum (0350-6134) 26 (2002), Suppl.; 25-37

Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Radovi u časopisima, članak, znanstveni

Ključne riječi
demographic development; depopulation; mathematical modeling

Sažetak
Demographic development of middle Dalmatian settlements: Jesenice, Mimice, Živogošće and Zaostrog was followed during the period between 1857 and 1991. On the basis of the analysis, we can conclude that the positive trends in the number of residents were interrupted during the first decades of the 20th century, while the stagnation and decrease of the total number of residents prevailed during the following period. In other words, depopulation was established as a stable demographic process. Population's gender structure was uniform during the rolls in 1971, 1981 and 1991 in all four settlements. During the same period, the age structure of the population showed that the older residents prevailed over younger residents (pre-reproductive and reproductive population) in all four villages (Jesenice, Mimice, Živogošće and Zaostrog). Furthermore, all settlements belonged to the regressive or stationary types of age structure (neither belonging to the progressive type). We have used the LOPI model for the mathematical modeling of demographic processes of the middle Dalmatian population. On the basis of the LOPI model the results show very good accordance between the simulated data and actual values in the settlements of Živogošće and Zaostrog. The settlements of Mimice and Jesenice showed also very good accordance between the simulated data and actual values, but only until 1920 (Jesenice) and 1910 (Mimice) year.

Izvorni jezik
Engleski

Znanstvena područja
Etnologija i antropologija

POVEZANOST RADA