Naslov
Population decline and population ageing in Croatia: the effect on energy consumption

Autori
Ivanda, Krešimir

Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Radovi u zbornicima skupova, cjeloviti rad (in extenso), znanstveni

Izvornik
Conference Proceedings of the International Conference on the Economics of the Decoupling (ICED) / Družić, Gordan ; Gelo, Tomislav - Zagreb : Ekonomski fakultet Sveučilišta u Zagrebu, 2020, 161-176

ISBN
978-953-347-337-6

Skup
International Conference on Economics of Decoupling (ICED)

Mjesto i datum
Zagreb, Hrvatska, 02.12.2019. - 03.12.2019

Vrsta sudjelovanja
Predavanje

Vrsta recenzije
Međunarodna recenzija

Ključne riječi
population decline, population ageing, Bayesian probabilistic projections, energy consumption

Sažetak
Residential energy consumption accounts for a significant share in global energy consumption. Despite great technological advancements in energy efficiency, global energy consumption is expected to rise around 60 percent by 2040 compared to 2010. One of the background factors is demographic change, namely demographic ageing. It has been shown that an individual’s age has a strong positive correlation with energy consumption. Given the changing age structure of the population, particularly in developed countries, demographic ageing will have several implications on energy consumption. The case of Croatia is rather interesting: there are two ongoing population processes with differing effects on energy consumption. Croatia is witnessing both population decline and population ageing. Since ageing is positively correlated to energy consumption, it is not clear whether future energy consumption will rise given the intensity of population decline. Utilising Bayesian population projections and simulated age-specific and gender-specific energy consumption, this paper projects the effects of population ageing and population decline on total energy consumption in Croatia.

Izvorni jezik
Engleski

Znanstvena područja
Ekonomija, Demografija

POVEZANOST RADA