Naslov
Penny Wise and Pound Foolish: Capital Gains Tax and Trading Volume on the Zagreb Stock Exchange

Autori
Globan, Tomislav ; Škrinjarić, Tihana

Izvornik
Public sector economics (2459-8860) 44 (2020), 3; 299-329

Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Radovi u časopisima, članak, znanstveni

Ključne riječi
capital gains tax ; event study ; regression discontinuity ; stock market ; trading volume

Sažetak
This paper analyses the effects of a recently introduced capital gains tax on the trading volume on the Zagreb Stock Exchange. Using three different methodological approaches - event study methodology, regression discontinuity design and panel regressions - we offer evidence that the introduction of the capital gains tax in January 2016 created abnormally high trading volume patterns shortly before the tax came into force and abnormally low volume patterns after the fact, further decreasing the liquidity of an already poorly liquid market. The negative effects are significant both in short- and longer-term, as our difference-in-differences estimations suggest that the average trading volume in the three post-tax years decreased by 23% vis-à-vis the pre-tax period. Given that the revenues collected from this tax are almost negligible, but create considerable negative externalities, our main policy recommendation for countries with underdeveloped and lowly liquid stock markets is to use less restrictive tax policies to encourage investment and attract as many new investors as possible.

Izvorni jezik
Engleski

Znanstvena područja
Matematika, Ekonomija

POVEZANOST RADA