Naslov
Development trends in the number of postal parcels in the Republic of Croatia

Autori
Karin, Ivan ; Poljičak, Ana-Mari ; Šego, Darijo

Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Radovi u zbornicima skupova, cjeloviti rad (in extenso), znanstveni

Izvornik
Proceedings - XI International Scientific Conference Transport Problems 2019 / Sladkowski, Aleksander - Katovice : Silesian University of Technology, Faculty of Transport, 2019, 320-325

ISBN
978-83-945717-8-8

Skup
Transport problems 2019 : 11th International scientific conference

Mjesto i datum
Katowice, Poljska, 24.06.2019. - 28.06.2019

Vrsta sudjelovanja
Predavanje

Vrsta recenzije
Međunarodna recenzija

Ključne riječi
postal parcels ; influence of the season ; exponential trend model

Sažetak
In the last couple of years, the Republic of Croatia has witnessed a growth in the number of postal parcels. In this paper, by applying quantitative methods, we perform the decomposition of a time series, where the development of the number of parcels is decomposed into the part which refers to the influence of the season and the part which refers to the irregular component, i.e. the unexplained part. We also perform an estimate of the developments of the number of parcels until 2025 by using the exponential trend, where the developments of the parcel number variable are estimated without the influence of the season. The research has established the influence of the season, where highest parcel traffic is achieved in the fourth quarters. By applying the exponential trend model, it has been established that in every following period, a growth in the number of parcels by 2.75% is to be expected.

Izvorni jezik
Engleski

Znanstvena područja
Matematika, Tehnologija prometa i transport

POVEZANOST RADA