Pregled bibliografske jedinice broj: 447234
Seasonal atmospheric predictability - the ECMWF Provost experience
Seasonal atmospheric predictability - the ECMWF Provost experience // Proceedings of the WMO International Workshop on Dynamical Extended Range Forecasts
Ženeva: WMO, WMO/TD-881, PWPR Report series project No.11, 1998. str. 209-214 (pozvano predavanje, međunarodna recenzija, cjeloviti rad (in extenso), znanstveni)
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Naslov
Seasonal atmospheric predictability - the ECMWF Provost experience
Autori
Branković, Č. ; Palmer, T.N.
Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Radovi u zbornicima skupova, cjeloviti rad (in extenso), znanstveni
Izvornik
Proceedings of the WMO International Workshop on Dynamical Extended Range Forecasts
/ - Ženeva : WMO, WMO/TD-881, PWPR Report series project No.11, 1998, 209-214
Skup
WMO International Workshop on Dynamical Extended Range Forecasts
Mjesto i datum
Toulouse, Francuska, 17.11.1997. - 21.11.1997
Vrsta sudjelovanja
Pozvano predavanje
Vrsta recenzije
Međunarodna recenzija
Ključne riječi
atmospheric predictability; seasonal ensembles; ECMWF
Sažetak
A series of ensemble integrations with ECMWF model has been made to assess the predictability of the atmosphere on seasonal timescales. Integrations were 120 days long and observed sea surface temperature (SST) was specified at the lower boundary. Overall, the level of skill was positive for all regions considered. Systematic errors of the model are found to be non-negligible. Over some parts of the globe, it was found that systematic errors are of the order of magnitude of interannual variability.
Izvorni jezik
Engleski
Znanstvena područja
Geologija