Naslov
Self Organized Critical Dynamics of the Sustainable Devlopment

Autori
Najdovski, Dimitrij ; Šlaus, Ivo ; Zidanšek, Aleksander

Izvornik
Thermal science (0354-9836) 12 (2008); 113-120

Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Radovi u časopisima, članak, znanstveni

Ključne riječi
sustainable development ; neural networks ; self organization

Sažetak
Meadows, Randers, and Meadows developed a computer model, which studied rela tions between global resources, production, and consumption. Their model solves a simple system of ordinary differential equations under different scenarios and predicts the future of variables like population, food production, and various measures of pollution and use of resources. Due to the com plexities of the observed system, such a simple model cannot take into account all significant parameters and therefore cannot be used for accurate long term predictions. Therefore we developed a neural network based model, which we tested with historical data to reproduce the Meadows results. We also used this model to cluster countries based on similarity as measured by the observed variables in an attempt to predict, which characteristics are most significant for their development.

Izvorni jezik
Engleski

Znanstvena područja
Fizika

POVEZANOST RADA