Pregled bibliografske jedinice broj: 144973
Dynamic modeling of ethnic conflicts
Dynamic modeling of ethnic conflicts // International Transactions in Operational Research, 11 (2004), 1; 63-76 (podatak o recenziji nije dostupan, članak, znanstveni)
CROSBI ID: 144973 Za ispravke kontaktirajte CROSBI podršku putem web obrasca
Naslov
Dynamic modeling of ethnic conflicts
Autori
Penzar, Dražen ; Srbljinović, Armano
Izvornik
International Transactions in Operational Research (0969-6016) 11
(2004), 1;
63-76
Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Radovi u časopisima, članak, znanstveni
Ključne riječi
world affairs; politics; complex societal problems; ethnic conflicts; simulation; agent-based modeling; system dynamics
Sažetak
The paper presents two formal models of ethnic conflicts: an agent-based model of ethnic mobilization and a system-dynamics model of societal conflicts. Models are based on recent social-science theories of preconditions, causes and dynamics of ethnic violence and on experience in former Yugoslavia in last two decades. We present architecture and main models' elements, and roughly compare their dynamics with observed patterns of behavior in Yugoslav crisis. We conclude that computerized modeling of ethnic conflicts and similar complex social behavior can not predict or accurately replicate real-world events, but can help in developing and understanding relevant scientific concepts and theories.
Izvorni jezik
Engleski
Znanstvena područja
Sociologija
Citiraj ovu publikaciju:
Uključenost u ostale bibliografske baze podataka::
- The INSPEC Science Abstracts series
- International Abstracts in Operations Research
- Zentralblatt MATH