Naslov
Relationship between Economic Development and Age- Specific Fertility Rates in the European Union

Autori
Belić, Tomislav ; Štefančić, Hrvoje ; Mišetić, Roko

Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Sažeci sa skupova, pp prezentacija, znanstveni

Izvornik
BSPS 2021 posters with abstracts / - , 2021

Skup
The British Society for Population Studies virtual Annual Conference 2021

Mjesto i datum
Online, 14.09.2021. - 15.09.2021

Vrsta sudjelovanja
Poster

Vrsta recenzije
Podatak o recenziji nije dostupan

Ključne riječi
Fertility ; Age-specific fertility rate ; Economic development ; NUTS 3 regions ; European union

Sažetak
This work examines, using Eurostat data, the fertility-development relationship at the sub- national level and further, the relationship between development and age-specific fertility rates. By conducting simple linear regression, we examine the relationship between economic development, as measured by GDP per capita, and age-specific fertility rates using 5-years cohorts among European countries in 2015. A particular emphasis is placed on 20-39 years cohorts. The relationship is analyzed for each 5-years cohort and each of the 26 European countries individually, covering 1358 NUTS 3 regions. We document a weak negative relationship between GDP per capita and TFR among most countries in 2015. In some countries, the relationship is slightly positive. Although on the one-year data we cannot track long-standing relationship, fertility decomposition into age groups revealed that the fertility-development relationship is formed by two opposite relationships. GDP per capita is in a negative relationship with age-specific fertility rates of the 20-24 and 25-29 age groups. With the age group of 30-34 years a relationship reverses to weak positive, and with the group 35-39 years a positive relationship becomes strong and significant. In younger cohorts and among less developed countries, the impact of GDP per capita on age-specific fertility rates is greater. Since the relationship transition from negative to positive depends on births at later ages, countries with a higher share of births after 30 have a more positive relationship. Following such a finding, the direction of the fertility- development relationship depends on the share of birth of the pre and after 30 subpopulation.

Izvorni jezik
Engleski

POVEZANOST RADA