engleski

Examining linear trends: Examples of sea levels in the Mediterranean

Long term linear trends for mean regional annual sea levels in Mediterranean are assessed with four models assuming the existence of linear trend vs. no trend and correlated vs. non - correlated residuals. Bayes methodology is applied. Positive autocorrelation is found in all regions which considerably increases the uncertainties of estimated trends. Model comparison strongly indicates the existence of (linear) trends in all regions except in the Aegean sea, where the data slightly prefer the no - trend model.

Sea level, Mediterranean Sea

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