engleski

Tourism – the factor of employment sustainability in Croatian economy

The number of people employed within the Croatian economic system has been decreasing. In 2015 this number is by 12.73% smaller than in 2008. Adding to this negative trend is the fact that young experts and scientists are leaving the country which altogether leads us to question sustainability of employment in Croatian economy. If new jobs are not created and employment is not increased, there will be no sustainable development. In relation to this the main goal of this paper is to determine the role of tourism in job preservation. This scientific paper is based on econometric analysis, thus anticipating the needs for human resources in Croatian tourism sector until 2030. The methods of correlation and regression analysis have been used to investigate the rules and regulations which govern relations among stochastic phenomena in tourism. The statistical analysis refers to the period from 1986 to 2015. Data analysis and numerical calculations have been performed using SPSS software. The main finding of this paper points to the fact that if tourism is regarded as an intensive labor activity, it will remain an important source of employment in Croatian economy. In other words, it will remain an important factor contributing to sustainability in employment. Considerable difficulties have occurred due to different approaches in measuring the number of people employed in tourism, or due to the fact that tourism is characterized by great seasonal fluctuations of workforce. The scientific methodology applied lends objectivity in the assessment of possibilities of tourism in creating new jobs. These findings should be helpful with a scientific approach in direct and indirect contribution of tourism in overall employment.

tourism, sustainability, employment

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