engleski

Computerized Epidemiometric Model of Shigellosis and its Use in Assessing Potential Usefulness of New Tools for Disease Control

A computerized prototype of the epidemiometric model of bacillary dysentery was developed in order to study its potential usefulness in public health. The multistate model was built on the basis of the natural history of shigellosis by formulating an appropriate set of difference equations relevant to the flow of population between epidemiological classes. Necessary software was developed for performing interactive' simulation games. Simulations Included studying the natural course of the disease in a stable endemic situation, the results of the application of different types of vaccines, both real and hypothetical. The epidemiometric model of shigellosis also appears to be useful in the evaluation of the projects aimed at the development of new control measures, such as new vaccines against this disease. Further Investigation of shigellosis modelling is needed in order to design realistic models of this disease with complex etiology.

computerized epidemiometric model ; disease control

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