engleski

ANALYSIS OF WOOD RAW MATERIAL CONSUMPTION AND FUTURE TRENDS IN SOUTHEAST EUROPEAN COUNTRIES

Intensive competition, as a result of a globalization leads us to the necessity of looking at the current market situation, in order to predict the situation in the future. In this dynamic conditions it is necessary to use the economic theory for the qualitative and quantitative analysis of markets by interpreting the economic data and forecasting the future economic values. It is known that a major part of forest product entering an international markets are in the form of raw material and /or semifinal products. Further more, it is significant that the ratio of wood raw material exports to production is generally higher among the secondary/final wood products. Tradition in wood processing based on increased domestic wood material production, the quality of raw material and a rising trend in the use of wood as an ecological and renewable material which leads to increasement of production and total income are common elements in all Southeastern European countries when talking about wood industry. The aim of this paper was to determine wood raw material consumption trends based on so-called apparent consumption and to present a future scenarios of wodd raw material consumption in Southeastern European countries from 1990-ties up to present moment.

wood industry; raw material; Southeastern European countores; consumption trends; forecasting

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