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Models for forecasting the imports and exports of furniture


Moro, Maja; Motik, Darko; Pirc Barčić, Andreja; Oblak, Leon
Models for forecasting the imports and exports of furniture // International Conference (WoodEMA 2012) Wood and Furniture Industry in Times of Change : New Trends and Challenges : proceedings / Rybansky, Rudolf ; Novakova, Renata (ur.).
Trnava: University of Ss. Cyril and Methodius in Trnava, Faculty of Mass Media Communication, 2012. str. 60-65 (predavanje, međunarodna recenzija, cjeloviti rad (in extenso), znanstveni)


Naslov
Models for forecasting the imports and exports of furniture

Autori
Moro, Maja ; Motik, Darko ; Pirc Barčić, Andreja ; Oblak, Leon

Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Radovi u zbornicima skupova, cjeloviti rad (in extenso), znanstveni

Izvornik
International Conference (WoodEMA 2012) Wood and Furniture Industry in Times of Change : New Trends and Challenges : proceedings / Rybansky, Rudolf ; Novakova, Renata - Trnava : University of Ss. Cyril and Methodius in Trnava, Faculty of Mass Media Communication, 2012, 60-65

ISBN
978-80-8105-375-7

Skup
International Conference "Wood and Furniture Industry in Times of Change : New Trends and Challenges"

Mjesto i datum
Trnava, Republika Slovačka, 06.-08.06.2012.

Vrsta sudjelovanja
Predavanje

Vrsta recenzije
Međunarodna recenzija

Ključne riječi
Furniture ; import ; export ; time series models ; forecasting

Sažetak
On the basis of established values in the period 2000.-2010., the paper discuss a possibility to predict future values of imports of furniture to Croatia, and the values of exports of Croatian furniture. The data of import and export values are gathered from Croatian Bureau of Statistics and include the main countries for the foreign trade activity with Croatia. The dynamic economic analysis of time series data was performed and two types of time series models were built: models based on average rates of change and linear trend models. Prediction is limited to year 2015. because of turbulences in this market and the length of analyzed time series.

Izvorni jezik
Engleski

Znanstvena područja
Šumarstvo, Drvna tehnologija



POVEZANOST RADA


Projekt / tema
068-0681966-1969 - Matematički i statistički modeli za praćenje stanja i gospodarenja u šumarstvu (Anamarija Jazbec, )
068-0683446-3510 - Adaptivno upravljanje procesima u proizvodnji proizvoda od drva (Denis Jelačić, )
068-0683446-3512 - Modeli povećanja konkurentnosti u izvozu finalnih proizvoda od drva (Darko Motik, )

Ustanove
Šumarski fakultet, Zagreb