engleski

Modelling energy demand of Croatian industry sector

Industry represents one of the most interesting sectors when analyzing Croatian final energy demand. Croatian industry presents 20% of nation’s GDP and employs 25% of total labour force making it a significant subject for the economy. Today, with around 60 PJ of final energy demand it is the third most energy intensive sector in Croatia. Considering this consumption, implementing different mechanisms that would lead to improvements in energy efficiency in this sector seems relevant. Through this paper, long term energy demand projections for Croatian industry sector will be shown. Special emphasis will be on different mechanisms, both financial, legal but also technological that will influence future energy demand scenarios. Energy demand predictions in this paper are based upon bottom-up approach model which combines and process large number of input data. The Model will be compared to Croatian National Energy Strategy and specific differences will be presented. One of the major conclusions shown in this paper is significant possibilities for energy efficiency improvements and lower energy demand in the future, based on careful and rational energy planning. Different financial, legal and technological mechanisms can lead to significant savings in the industry sector which also leads to lower greenhouse gas emissions and lower Croatian dependence on foreign fossil fuels.

industry; energy demand; energy forecast; energy efficiency; energy scenarios

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