#### Pregled bibliografske jedinice broj: 5590

## An example of the chaos theory practical implication in the formulation of a deterministic climatic model

An example of the chaos theory practical implication in the formulation of a deterministic climatic model

*// Annales Geophysicae, Supplement II to Volume 15*/ Richter, A.K. (ur.).

Katlenburg-Lindau: European Geophysical Society, 1997. (predavanje, međunarodna recenzija, sažetak, znanstveni)

**Naslov**

An example of the chaos theory practical implication in the formulation of a deterministic climatic model

**Autori**

Šinik, Nadežda ; Marki, Antun

**Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada**

Sažeci sa skupova, sažetak, znanstveni

**Izvornik**

Annales Geophysicae, Supplement II to Volume 15
/ Richter, A.K. - Katlenburg-Lindau : European Geophysical Society, 1997

**Skup**

XXII General Assembly of the European Geophysical Society

**Mjesto i datum**

Beč, Austrija, 21-25.04.1997

**Vrsta sudjelovanja**

Predavanje

**Vrsta recenzije**

Međunarodna recenzija

**Ključne riječi**

Chaos theory; deteministic climatic model

**Sažetak**

Long series of temperature monthly means at Zagreb, Croatia, were subjected to the correlation algorithm. Some deformations on the cumulative frequency distribution curves indicated a possible existence of a low-dimensional subspace, which might describe large magnitude influences of just three coupled governing variables. When compared with some previous investigations at Zagreb climate, those variables most probably were: temperature, T, cloudiness, N and the received solar radiation, Q. Some attempts were made to formulate a closed system for those three variables. Due to a strong dependence of the received solar radiation on the cloudiness, the basic system could be reduced to two equations: a diagnostic one for the temperature climatic variations in dependence on Q and N, i.e. T(Q,N) and a prognostic equation for the cloudiness, N=N(t). Several scenarios of N(t) with respect to the general circulation of the atmosphere prevailing patterns over European mid-latitudes have been theoretically modelled to simulate expected temperature variations. The application to several locations in Europe gave encouraging results.

**Izvorni jezik**

Engleski

**Znanstvena područja**

Geologija

**POVEZANOST RADA**

**Projekt / tema**

119299

**Ustanove**

Prirodoslovno-matematički fakultet, Zagreb

**Autor s matičnim brojem:**

Antun Marki, (180825)

Nadežda Šinik, (47015)