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Pregled bibliografske jedinice broj: 528973

Business Climate Indicator as a Predictor of Croatian Industrial Production


Čižmešija, Mirjana; Kurnoga Živadinović, Nataša; Sorić, Petar
Business Climate Indicator as a Predictor of Croatian Industrial Production // Croatian Operational Research Review, Vol.1 (2010), 202-209 (međunarodna recenzija, članak, znanstveni)


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Naslov
Business Climate Indicator as a Predictor of Croatian Industrial Production

Autori
Čižmešija, Mirjana ; Kurnoga Živadinović, Nataša ; Sorić, Petar

Izvornik
Croatian Operational Research Review (1848-0225) Vol.1 (2010); 202-209

Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Radovi u časopisima, članak, znanstveni

Ključne riječi
Business Survey; Business Climate Indicator; Multivariate Analysis; Factor Analysis; Vector autoregression
(konjunkturna istraživanja; pokazatelj poslovne klime; multivarijatna analiza; faktorska analiza; vektorska autoregresija)

Sažetak
Business and Consumer Surveys (BCS) are one of the most frequently used tools to assess economy’s cyclical behavior. Croatia has been conducting the surveys continually since 1995. Nevertheless, there is still a research niche in the Croatian BCS framework that has not been adequately represented. The Joint Harmonised EU Programme of Business and Consumer Surveys suggests Business Climate Indicator (BCI) as a composite leading indicator of the economy as a whole. In accordance to the EU methodology, this paper examines managers’ qualitative assessments on five important variables related to their economic environment. Using factor analysis one factor was extracted from those five variables, representing the BCI. It’s predictive properties were analyzed with regards to Croatian industrial production using Granger causality test, impulse response and variance decomposition analysis. Results strongly confirm the precedence of BCI to the changes of Croatian industrial production, validating the importance of its introduction and utilization in Croatian economic cycles analysis.

Izvorni jezik
Engleski

Znanstvena područja
Ekonomija



POVEZANOST RADA


Projekti:
067-0000000-2496 - Metodologija konjunkturnih istraživanja Eurposke unije i Republike Hrvatske (Čižmešija, Mirjana, MZOS ) ( POIROT)
067-0161711-2483 - Statističko modeliranje za povećanje konkurentnosti suvremenih organizacija (Dumičić, Ksenija, MZOS ) ( POIROT)

Ustanove:
Ekonomski fakultet, Zagreb

Profili:

Avatar Url Mirjana Čižmešija (autor)

Avatar Url Nataša Kurnoga (autor)

Avatar Url Petar Sorić (autor)

Citiraj ovu publikaciju:

Čižmešija, Mirjana; Kurnoga Živadinović, Nataša; Sorić, Petar
Business Climate Indicator as a Predictor of Croatian Industrial Production // Croatian Operational Research Review, Vol.1 (2010), 202-209 (međunarodna recenzija, članak, znanstveni)
Čižmešija, M., Kurnoga Živadinović, N. & Sorić, P. (2010) Business Climate Indicator as a Predictor of Croatian Industrial Production. Croatian Operational Research Review, Vol.1, 202-209.
@article{article, year = {2010}, pages = {202-209}, keywords = {Business Survey, Business Climate Indicator, Multivariate Analysis, Factor Analysis, Vector autoregression}, journal = {Croatian Operational Research Review}, volume = {Vol.1}, issn = {1848-0225}, title = {Business Climate Indicator as a Predictor of Croatian Industrial Production}, keyword = {Business Survey, Business Climate Indicator, Multivariate Analysis, Factor Analysis, Vector autoregression} }
@article{article, year = {2010}, pages = {202-209}, keywords = {konjunkturna istra\v{z}ivanja, pokazatelj poslovne klime, multivarijatna analiza, faktorska analiza, vektorska autoregresija}, journal = {Croatian Operational Research Review}, volume = {Vol.1}, issn = {1848-0225}, title = {Business Climate Indicator as a Predictor of Croatian Industrial Production}, keyword = {konjunkturna istra\v{z}ivanja, pokazatelj poslovne klime, multivarijatna analiza, faktorska analiza, vektorska autoregresija} }

Časopis indeksira:


  • Web of Science Core Collection (WoSCC)
    • Emerging Sources Citation Index (ESCI)
  • EconLit





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