Meteorological and weather forecast data-based prediction of electrical power delivery of a photovoltaic panel in a stochastic framework (CROSBI ID 573489)
Prilog sa skupa u zborniku | izvorni znanstveni rad | domaća recenzija
Podaci o odgovornosti
Vašak, Mario ; Gulin, Marko ; Čeović, Josip ; Nikolić, Dražen ; Pavlović, Tomislav ; Perić, Nedjeljko
engleski
Meteorological and weather forecast data-based prediction of electrical power delivery of a photovoltaic panel in a stochastic framework
The aim of this work is to yield a procedure for predicting expectation and covariance of power delivered by a generally tilted photovoltaic panel, based on available expectations and covariances of incident weather forecast data. The procedure consists of several steps: (i) neural-network-based identification of direct and diffuse solar irradiance models as static functions of available meteorological data ; (ii) implementing the model of overall solar irradiance received on a tilted surface ; (iii) determination and implementation of a thermal model of a photovoltaic panel, and (iv) implementing the unscented transformation to compute expectation and covariance of a stochastic variable after passing through a nonlinear mapping. Obtained simulation results present usefulness of the approach which is to be used within predictive control strategies of electrical storages in a microgrid with photovoltaic panels, that will optimize a combination of technical and economical criteria of the microgrid operation.
photovoltaic panel; weather data; power prediction; solar irradiance; neural network; unscented transformation
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Podaci o prilogu
93-98.
2011.
objavljeno
Podaci o matičnoj publikaciji
Proceedings of the 34th International Convention on Information and Communication Technology, Electronics and Microelectronics, MIPRO 2011
Bogunović, Nikola ; Ribarić, Slobodan
Zagreb: Hrvatska udruga za informacijsku i komunikacijsku tehnologiju, elektroniku i mikroelektroniku - MIPRO
978-953-233-062-5
1847-3938
Podaci o skupu
34th International Convention on Information and Communication Technology, Electronics and Microelectronics, MIPRO 2011
predavanje
23.05.2011-27.05.2011
Opatija, Hrvatska