engleski

Mathematical models of natural gas consumption

In this paper we consider the problem of hourly forecast of natural gas consumption on the basis of hourly movement of temperature and natural gas consumption in the preceding period. There are various methods and approaches for solving this problem in the literature. Some mathematical models with linear and nonlinear model functions relating forecast of natural gas consumption with the past natural gas consumption data, temperature data and temperature forecast data, are mentioned. The methods are tested on concrete examples referring to temperature and natural gas consumption for the area of the city of Osijek (Croatia) from the beginning of the year 2008.

natural gas consumption; mathematical model; least squares; least absolute deviations

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