Influence of climate change on the summer tourism potential in the Pannonian basin (CROSBI ID 163698)
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Podaci o odgovornosti
Zaninović, Ksenija ; Srnec, Lidija ; Patarčić, Mirta ; Perčec Tadić, Melita ; Mika, János ; Németh, Ákos
engleski
Influence of climate change on the summer tourism potential in the Pannonian basin
The part of Pannonian lowland situated in Hungary and Croatia, besides the main agricultural activity, represents also an important tourist resource. The most popular tourist destination is the "Hungarian see" – Lake Balaton, but there are also several spas as well as a lot of cultural and historic heritage. The spa tourism has been already developed, but there is a lot of potential to make it even more pronounced. The aim of the article is to investigate the possible change of summer bioclimatic conditions in the Pannonian lowland to obtain the long-term efficiency of tourism in the region and to help policymakers to initiate the adaptation to climate change. In order to investigate the differences between present and future bioclimate conditions, the two sets of 30-year long integrations, for the period 1961-1990 representing present climate and future climate (2041-2070) under the A2 emission scenario, have been performed using the regional climate model RegCM3. The initial and boundary conditions were provided from the global circulation model EH5OM. The changes of some thermal physical parameters important for tourism during summer are analyzed. The climate change has been studied by an analysis of the differences between future and present bioclimate focusing on physiologically equivalent temperature (PET).
present climate 1961-1990; future climate 2041-2070; REGCM3; EH5OM; A2 scenario; physiologically equivalent temperature
Rad je kao predavanje prezentiran na skupu 7th Conference on Biometeorology, održanom od 12.-14.04.2010., Freiburg, Njemačka.
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Podaci o izdanju
20
2010.
336-341
objavljeno
1435-618X