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Pregled bibliografske jedinice broj: 445127

Spatial and temporal analysis of dry spells in Croatia

Cindrić, Ksenija; Pasarić, Zoran; Gajić-Čapka, Marjana
Spatial and temporal analysis of dry spells in Croatia // Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 102 (2010), 1-2; 171-184 doi:10.1007/s00704-010-0250-6 (međunarodna recenzija, članak, znanstveni)

Spatial and temporal analysis of dry spells in Croatia

Cindrić, Ksenija ; Pasarić, Zoran ; Gajić-Čapka, Marjana

Theoretical and Applied Climatology (0177-798X) 102 (2010), 1-2; 171-184

Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Radovi u časopisima, članak, znanstveni

Ključne riječi
Croatia; dry spells; spatial and temporal analysis

Systematic statistical analysis of dry day sequences, which are defined according to 0.1, 1, 5 and 10 mm of precipitation-per-day thresholds, is performed on seasonal and yearly basis. The data analysed come from 25 Croatian meteorological stations and cover the period 1961–2000. Climatological features of the mean and maximum dry spell durations, as well as the frequency of long dry spells (>20 days) are discussed. The results affirm the three main climatological regions in Croatia, with the highlands exhibiting shorter dry spells than the mainland, and the coastal region exhibiting longer dry spells. The prevailing positive trend of both mean and maximal durations is detected during winter and spring seasons, while negative trend dominate in autumn for all thresholds. Positive field significant trends of mean dry spell duration with 5 and 10 mm thresholds are found during spring and the same is valid for annual maximum dry spell duration with a 10 mm threshold. It is found that the Discrete Autoregressive Moving Average (DARMA(1, 1)) model can be used to estimate the probabilities of dry spells in Croatia that are up to 20–30 days long.

Izvorni jezik

Znanstvena područja


Projekt / tema
004-1193086-3035 - Klimatske varijacije i promjene i odjek u područjima utjecaja (Marjana Gajić-Čapka, )
119-1193086-1323 - Kakvoća zraka nad kompleksnom topografijom (Zvjezdana Bencetić-Klaić, )
119-1193086-3085 - Utjecaj atmosfere i topografske varijabilnosti na procese u moru (Mirko Orlić, )

Državni hidrometeorološki zavod,
Prirodoslovno-matematički fakultet, Zagreb

Časopis indeksira:

  • Current Contents Connect (CCC)
  • Web of Science Core Collection (WoSCC)
    • Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXP)
    • SCI-EXP, SSCI i/ili A&HCI
  • Scopus