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Pregled bibliografske jedinice broj: 383973

Innovative methods in assessing political risk for business internationalization


Rios-Morales, Ruth; Gamberger, Dragan; Šmuc, Tomislav; Azuaje, Francisco
Innovative methods in assessing political risk for business internationalization // Research in International Business and Finance, 23 (2009), 144-156 doi:10.1016/j.ribaf.2008.03.011 (međunarodna recenzija, članak, znanstveni)


Naslov
Innovative methods in assessing political risk for business internationalization

Autori
Rios-Morales, Ruth ; Gamberger, Dragan ; Šmuc, Tomislav ; Azuaje, Francisco

Izvornik
Research in International Business and Finance (0275-5319) 23 (2009); 144-156

Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Radovi u časopisima, članak, znanstveni

Ključne riječi
Political instability ; Investment risk ; Data mining ; Statistical analysis ; Good governance ; Machine learning

Sažetak
Political risk assessment, together with portfolio analysis, has become an important part of international business investment decision making. In this paper, by using different knowledge discovery techniques, we attempt to assess the relevance and actionability of ‘ good governance’ indicators in political risk assessment. For that purpose, we have integrated good governance indicators data with political instability classification from the Political Instability Task Force (PITF) research. From this study, two models that capture the intuitive reasoning of investors have been developed. The usefulness of the models has been evaluated by comparison with factual investment data. Our findings suggest thatquantitative indicators of good governancemay provide the basis for accurate and meaningful models for the assessment and prediction of political risk.

Izvorni jezik
Engleski

Znanstvena područja
Računarstvo, Ekonomija



POVEZANOST RADA


Projekt / tema
098-0982560-2563 - Algoritmi strojnog učenja i njihova primjena (Dragan Gamberger, )

Ustanove
Institut "Ruđer Bošković", Zagreb

Časopis indeksira:


  • Web of Science Core Collection (WoSCC)
    • Emerging Sources Citation Index (ESCI)
  • Scopus
  • EconLit


Uključenost u ostale bibliografske baze podataka:


  • RePEc


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