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Properties of the Petrinja (Croatia) earthquake sequence of 2020–2021 – results of seismological research for the first six months of activity

We present locations of almost 14000 events from the first six months of the Petrinja (Croatia) earthquakes sequence (mainshock 29 December 2020, Mw 6.4). The catalogue is estimated complete for ML ≥ 1.20. Initially sparse local seismograph network was densified a week after the mainshock, which reduced uncertainties of focal locations by about 75%. Source-specific station corrections were used in an iterative location scheme. The hypocentres were located with 30 different sets of velocity models and program control parameters in order to gain insight into the epistemic uncertainty of each earthquake location. The bulk of epicentres are located close to, and to the SE of the causative, dextral strike-slip Petrinja fault, but considerable activity has been triggered on smaller faults, up to 25 km away. About a half of the 78 first-motion polarity focal mechanism solutions (FMS) from the full first year of activity were found to have mechanisms similar to the foreshock, the mainshock and the largest of aftershocks, while the rest indicated almost pure reverse faulting. Strike-slip mechanisms occurred more often close to the main fault. The P-axes of FMS for aftershocks were found to be on the average rotated by 16° clockwise with respect to the P-axis of the mainshock, regardless of the style of faulting. The spatial distribution of aftershocks coincides very well with the areas of positive Coulomb stress change caused by the mainshock rupture. The inferred cut-off seismogenic depth in the area (7–10 km), estimated on the basis of published values of the geothermal gradient and the assumption of predominantly granitic upper crust, is considerably shallower than the depth of the deepest reliably located aftershocks (16–18 km). This fact may be explained by considering ophiolite-dominated crust, and by increased strain rate during the sequence, which raises the ability of crustal rocks for brittle failure.

Aftershock locations, first-motion polarity focal mechanisms, earthquake location uncertainty, Coulomb stress-change, brittle-ductile transition

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