Historical and projected heat waves in Croatia (CROSBI ID 730899)
Prilog sa skupa u zborniku | sažetak izlaganja sa skupa | međunarodna recenzija
Podaci o odgovornosti
Srnec, Lidija ; Magjarević, Vjeran ; Güttler, Ivan
engleski
Historical and projected heat waves in Croatia
Introduction: Last IPCC AR6 reported with very high confidence that more frequent hot extremes will increase for the severity of heatwaves all- round the globe. It is known that heat and hot weather that can last for several days (so called heatwaves) can significantly influence human health as well as rise in heat-related deaths. Design and methods: In this work, climate simulations obtained by regional climate model RegCM4 over Croatia are used. RegCM4 was forced by four different global climate models on 12.5 km horizontal resolution. Historical climate simulated by model is compared with observed daily data measured at Croatian meteorological stations in order to evaluate simulations. Future climate is considered by three different IPCC scenarios: the lowest RCP2.6, the middle RCP4.5 and the highest RCP8.5 emission scenario. We considered three future time slices: 2021-2050 (P1), 2031- 2060 (P2) and 2041-2070 (P3). Results: The range of climate change for maximum temperature during summer will be examined in the future time slices. We will also look into duration and number of heat waves in different parts of Croatia. Knowledge of the current situation as well as possible change in the future can help in the planning future adaptation and mitigation measures.
heat waves, projections, climate change
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Podaci o prilogu
1-1.
2022.
objavljeno
Podaci o matičnoj publikaciji
Geophysical Research Abstracts
Beč:
Podaci o skupu
EGU General Assembly 2022
predavanje
23.05.2022-27.05.2022
Beč, Austrija; online