engleski

Towards an accessible assessment of reasoning: The relation of statistical reasoning and classic reasoning task performance

Classic reasoning tasks regularly require computerised administration, tight experimental control and are overall not accessible to researchers outside the field. While there have been attempts to develop reasoning assessments, these have resulted in comprehensive yet difficult to implement instruments. This study is part of a project with the aim of determining which key factors need to be covered in such an instrument, while being easily administered and accessible. Modified versions of three standard reasoning tasks (the Base Rate neglect task, the Linda problem and the Covariation detection task) were conducted alongside the test of statistical reasoning in order to assess how performance on the tasks and the test relate. The study was conducted in two countries (Croatia and the UK) and languages. Quite a robust relation between performance in the reasoning tasks and on the test were observed in both samples. We can conclude that one factor which needs to be a part of the full reasoning assessment has to cover statistical reasoning as it is robustly related to overall reasoning performance.

dual-process theory ; reasoning ; statistical reasoning ; probabilistic reasoning ; rationality

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