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Intensity of Modern Emigration from Republic of Croatia During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Demographic issues of modern-day Croatia have been characterized by intense emigration, a declining birthrate, natural decrease, a total fertility rate below replacement level and the process of population ageing for years. According to data from the Croatian Bureau of Statistics, Croatia has recorded a negative migration balance for the first time in the 21st century back in 2009. Furthermore, the emigration has significantly escalated once Croatia became a member of the European Union. The data on population migrations from the last couple of annual reports is worrying enough in itself and represents a clear indicator of the demographic destruction of Croatia ; moreover, analysis of official statistical data from the countries Croatians are immigrating to shows that the force of emigration from Croatia became even more alarming once the country has joined the European Union. However, the circumstances that occurred in 2020 (including the COVID-19 pandemic and all the ensuing consequences that had a direct impact on both Croatia and the rest of the world) have contributed to a decline in migration trends in 2020, thus once more confirming that migratory movements represent a very complicated matter, especially when it comes to forecasting and projecting future trends. They are particularly influenced by economic and social crises, wars, etc. The objective of this paper is to analyze data on Republic of Croatia’s external migrations obtained from the Croatian Bureau of Statistics, as well as statistical data from countries Croatians are immigrating to in order to define the influence of the COVID-19 pandemic on the rates of emigration from Republic of Croatia.

Croatia, external migration, modern emigration, Croatian emigration, pandemic

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