Does COVID-19 Behave as Lightning Strike? (CROSBI ID 724609)
Prilog sa skupa u zborniku | izvorni znanstveni rad | međunarodna recenzija
Podaci o odgovornosti
Lojic Kapetanovic, Ante ; Poljak, Dragan
engleski
Does COVID-19 Behave as Lightning Strike?
Early stages of an epidemic are characterized by exponential growth in the number of infected cases, corresponding to the effective reproduction number greater than 1. After deliberate interventions in the disease transmission are introduced, the effective reproduction number should drop below 1. The number of active infections should follow the downward trend conditioned by the stringency of the measures and drop exponentially. The growth phase is in general of shorter duration than the decay phase. This asymmetry imposes itself as an aggravating factor onto common mathematical models used to capture the epidemic dynamics. To overcome aforementioned issue, in this paper, we compare the functional form of the epidemic dynamics with the analytical expression often found in the lightning research and standardization. Computational examples are given for different countries that kept track of the number of daily positive cases, recovered cases and deaths during the period of the first outbreak of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).
epidemic modeling ; COVID-19 ; lightning current
nije evidentirano
nije evidentirano
nije evidentirano
nije evidentirano
nije evidentirano
nije evidentirano
Podaci o prilogu
1-5.
2022.
objavljeno
10.23919/splitech55088.2022.9854254
Podaci o matičnoj publikaciji
Engineering Modeling
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)
Podaci o skupu
7th International Conference on Smart and Sustainable Technologies (SpliTech 2022)
predavanje
05.07.2022-08.07.2022
Split / Bol, Hrvatska