engleski

The fertility response to the first Covid-19 wave across European Regions

Investigating fertility response to pandemic so far was focused on the country level. However, large sub-national variation in fertility is well- documented. A regional and monthly perspective is important to fully assess fertility response to the pandemic. The study aims to: a) document sub- national monthly birth rate changes in November 2020- April 2021 (first Covid-19 wave conceptions in February 2020-July 2020), by comparing observed to expected monthly birth rates (“excess births”), b) Assess the ‘significance’ of observed changes light of expected monthly birth rates (forecasts) based on modelling prior trends, and c) explore the association between NUTS2-level regions’ “excess births” and their first wave Covid-19 affectedness.

sub-national fertility ; pandemic ; monthly birth rates

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