engleski

Application of revised innovative trend analysis in lower Drava River

Changes in the streamflow pattern raise a plethora of implications on the morphological, economic, social, and cultural aspects of an entire river basin. Trend analysis of hydrological time series is the most common method to identify these changes. Several methods have been proposed to identify the trends in time series. In the present study, Mann–Kendall (MK), innovative trend analysis (ITA), and revised innovative trend analysis (RITA) were used to identify the trend in discharge and sediment load at two gauging sites of the lower Drava River Basin, during 1988–2017 with an objective to compare and understand the limitations of these methods. Innovative trend analysis provided greater visualization of the trend of different magnitude of discharges and sediment load as compared to Mann–Kendall test. However, it was observed that due to certain assumptions, ITA produced significant trends when the trends were insignificant. The significance of trends obtained from RITA was in close agreement with the Mann–Kendall test. In this regard, the method of determining the significance of trend in ITA needs to be rechecked and revised.

Trend analysis ; Drava River ; Mann–Kendall test ; Innovative trend analysis

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